Strategic Planning - Better Business Models, part 2

Business models work because they work for customers – and coincidentally, for your company. Self-deception here can lead companies to optimistically adopt a business model that fails because it was designed for the supplying company rather than for the customer. Time and again, I see business models that are broken not because the starting point for their design is what the supplier wants – rather than what the customer wants. One of the key reasons that specialty and commodity strategies are more often successful when they are distinct from each other is that the concept of specialty and commodity limits suppliers to ONE facet of their own desires – and then subjects the business model to a wide range of the customer’s desires.

The quintessential example of failure on this point is one of the oldest ways to create a scam – sell someone on the idea that they can get lots of money, quickly, without special skills or hard work. Sometimes these scams are simple (the Nigerian 401 scam), while sometimes they are grand and complex (Bernie Madoff and Enron come to mind). The fundamental nature of free market capitalism – that it is an engine of creative destruction – means that ANY business model that requires little work, skill, risk or time will be destroyed as quickly as competitors figure it out. Incidentally, if you think through the implications of each of these advantages (little work, little skill, little risk and little time), it becomes quite clear that business models built on top of genuine strategic competency are the only ones that have a long-term chance of success.

Strategic Planning for Acquisitions - Team Composition

When you are evaluating an acquisition, who should be on your team? As a general rule, you should attempt to include anyone who has primary responsibility for an area affected by the acquisition. For example, if operations will be affected (and they almost always are), you will want to include the VP of Operations. Obviously, there are a few other areas that are always - or almost always - affected by an acquisition, which means that most (if not all) companies will also want the CEO, the CFO and the VP of Sales involved. If you have a VP of marketing with a strategic level of responsibility, he or she would also be a good addition to the team. In many companies, you will also want to consider including the heads of IT, Human Resources, and Technology/Engineering - depending on your industry, and the ability of the person in question to think strategically about the acquisition.

I'd be curious to hear if there are people you have included in acquisition teams in the past that aren't listed here. Do you have any experiences (good or bad) that might suggest ways you should consider team composition? Let me know!

Strategic Planning: How to RE-think Your Business Model

This year, a LOT of people seem to be wanting to re-think their business models. This is a pretty good idea, because some things are changing in the world economy at a very fundamental level.

I do have to question the wisdom of tackling this for the first time in a recession, though - and here's why: tuning up a business model requires good information from the market.
The information from the market right now suggests (for example) that US consumers only want to buy 6 million vehicles a year. This is obviously poppycock, as anyone in the auto industry could tell you - but behaviors change during a recession.

When you are re-designing your business model, you are trying to create a structure that will work for you ALL the time - in both good times and bad. In many cases, the best business models simply don't work that well during a recession - so you have to structure your business to weather the storm.

All this being said, some markets may be changing so fundamentally that it would be suicidal NOT to re-examine your business model. So what is the best process for doing this?
In strategic planning, the business model is often one of the core strategic issues, so I often find myself tinkering with it.

In the past 20 years, I've found myself making excellent changes - and sometimes not so excellent ones. Here are a few things I've learned from the hundreds of times I've tackled this:

1. Build your model on DATA, not emotion
2. Understand ALL FLOWS in your model - not just the easy ones
3. Start with an understanding of your STRATEGIC COMPETENCY
4. Looking at your current model, ask WHY and WHY NOT about every area where customer value is not optimized
5. Pay close attention to the things EVERYONE IS DOING - and figure out how to avoid them
6. When you have a new model you like, SHOOT HOLES IN IT - and then fix them
7. Make sure you have a good EXECUTION PLAN for making sure the model changes - you will meet resistance!

My next few posts will be about each of these points, and some of the things I do to assure the output is a sturdy, viable business model.

Strategic Planning - What's Working Now

I've been paying close attention to the things my clients are doing that seem to be working right now. Remember, the economy is still functioning around at least 90% of where it was a year ago, so there is plenty of money to be had out there. Here are the strategies that seem to be working:

1. Target emerging customer desires

Emerging customer desires can be general (such as an increased desire for green products) or very specific (such as the new niche for iPhone apps). This strategy requires a bit of forethought about what's going to be cool next year, but the payoff can be huge.

2. Emphasize needs based purchases

When people tighten their belts, they still buy what they need. An emphasis on basics can pay off, but don't overlook the "downshift" appeal of less expensive luxuries, where people subsitute, say, a domestic vacation for an international one, or beer for wine.

3. Use the breather to tune up your operation

You have extra capacity and manpower right now? Prepare yourself...you may not have enough in a few months. Even if you don't expect this, it's wise use a period of low capacity utilization to increase the efficiency of your operation from the ground up - and NOT just by cutting costs! This would be a perfect time to undertake a lean initiative, for example.

4. Acquire competitors who haven't planned for a recession

Some of your competitors undoubtedly didn't prepare as well as you did for a recession. Why not take advantage of this fact and sniff around to see if any of them would be willing sellers?

New Strategic Planning Process - Drinks at the Pool

I have recently reviewed strategic planning results from a number of clients, and am developing a completely new design based on results over the past 10 years.

This new process, which I am calling "Drinks at the Pool" or DatP for short, reflects learning from some of the most successful organizations I've worked with over the past twenty years. It involves a structured process of drinking whiskey next to a swimming pool in a warm climate.

If you are interested in this streamlined and effective form of strategic planning, I have some dates available in April in Orlando, and would enjoy talking with you about how we can relax and imbibe our way to greater success for your company!

Strategic planning - Compensated Risk

I love entrepreneurs. Not only are they the soul of job growth in the world, but they are, in many ways, the pinnacle of the accountable life. Every little thing a business owner does can have an effect on his or her company - and he or she reaps both the rewards and the penalties for those actions.

One of the things that bothers me about public companies is the separation of risk and reward, especially at the executive level. It drives behavior that is at best incongruent and at worst, destructive.

Take the example of a company that takes a wild risk to fund development of a major new product. Let's say this funding requires an investment of $2 million and has a 50/50 chance of success. For the entrepreneur, the downside is the loss of his or her $2 million - and in many cases, failure of the company.

Not so for the executive in a large public company. That loss simply becomes a blotch on his or her resume - and would not usually prevent finding another, better job when the time comes to move on. Now, granted, the entrepreneur gains more from the upside - the gains are all his or hers (after taxes). The large company executive merely gets a big feather in his or her hat and possibly a nice bonus.

Let's look at the real issue here - both of these players are gambling. But the entrepreneur gambles with his or her own money, while the public company executive gambles with the investment dollars of shareholders. If the public company is REALLY big, like General Motors or AIG, the gambling can also involve taxpayer money, which is essentially extorted from citizens to fund the career-building risks of executives in large companies.

Inside ANY company, you can find issues resulting from compensated risk. When the risk to any employee does not correlate to the risk for the company - when he or she doesn't have enough "skin in the game" - you are asking for strategic problems. A very common example of this lies in sales compensation - most salespeople are compensated on sales volume, but can have a high impact on margins, too. When you balance the compensated risk of losing the sale (and the volume-based commission that goes with it) against the non-compensated risk of low margins for the company, most salespeople will err on the side of low margins. Where do you see conflicts of compensated vs. non-compensated risk in your company?

Strategic Planning - What You Should Do Differently!

Obviously, this year puts most of us in a strategic environment that is quite different from anything in the past five or ten years. Are there any things you should do differently in strategic planning this year? Absolutely! Here are a few suggestions:

1. Do make sure you are investing as much as you can in capital and acquisitions - because they are really cheap right now!

2. Do invest in your brand - again, really cheap, and the marketing noise level is low in many markets!

3. Do hire good people away from competitors that are cutting staff - good people are gold, and some of the best people may become available this year!

Here are a few other things you should NOT do:

1. Do NOT save money/time by skipping strategic planning! Now, more than ever, you need to steer your business carefully.

2. Do NOT cut key people if you can help it - they are very hard to replace.

3. Do NOT assume that current trends will continue - one thing we know is that even bad recessions don't last THAT long, so plan to position yourself well in the recovery.

If you'd like to discuss how to apply these suggestions at your business - no matter what size - please get in touch! We've helped clients improve their profits in good years AND bad since 1981 - and the Simplified Strategic Planning model can be scaled to fit any timescale and budget.